FIVE THINGS… NPL QUEENSLAND – Round 10

THE GREAT DIVIDE

Well we’re starting to see some divisions open up on the ladder, although it is hard to line up the competition considering the number of catch-up games that are to be played with only FNQ Heat playing their full quota.

Moreton Bay and Strikers have opened up a mini gap on the rest of the table. Olympic and Sunshine Coast are then in their own mini-division in third and fourth with spots five through ten being covered by only five points.

Given the number of catch-up matches, we’ve attempted to try and apply some parity to the current table using a formula that compares a club’s own results against those of the opponents they have played. Below are our findings:

Team Power Ranking Ladder Position Power Score
Moreton Bay 1st 1st 4.13
Brisbane Strikers 2nd 2nd 3.53
Olympic 3rd 3rd 3.23
Sunshine Coast 4th 4th 3.09
Brisbane Roar 5th 7th 3.02
Palm Beach 6th 9th 2.82
Western Pride 7th 5th 2.79
Northern Fury 8th 6th 2.61
FNQ Heat 9th 8th 2.59
Redlands 10th 10th 2.49
Brisbane City 11th 11th 2.16
SWQ Thunder 12th 12th 1.75

As you can see, the top four and bottom three positions on our power rankings match up with their current table positions. Things shake themselves up a little in the middle of the table, particularly with Brisbane Roar and Palm Beach currently playing above their ladder standing.

At the moment, it looks as though the top five ladder occupants will be the ones battling for the top four finals spots with Fury still half a shout. The Heat and Palm Beach have work to do with the wild-card being the improving Redlands.

BREAKING THE DUCK

Congratulations to City on breaking through for their first win of the season against the Western Pride on Friday night. Maybe luck is starting to go their way, Pride had the opportunity to draw the match with a last minute penalty but keeper Matt Stein saved that. Earlier in the year, that was the type of thing that probably would have gone against City.

Hopefully, that injects some confidence into the squad and they appear to be a better than fair chance of picking up two wins a row as they travel to Toowoomba to meet fellow cellar dwellers SWQ Thunder on Saturday night.

REDLANDS REVIVAL

Only the one win so far for City so a little too early to assess whether it’s a turnaround in their season but one side who appears to be on that road are Redlands, winning their third on the trot across league and cup competitions.

In reality, Redlands had come close during their winless streak with two draws and defeats by a solitary goal in four other matches. With recent additions strengthening the squad, those earlier results are now being converted to wins.

They’ll have to be at their best though on Friday night at the Cleveland Showgrounds where they take on the Brisbane Roar who stymied Sunshine Coast’s winning form on the weekend.

SPOT ON

Four penalties awarded in the Olympic v Fury match on Sunday afternoon, two of those converted by Danny Byrne within the first six minutes after halftime to effectively seal the match for the home side.

It was a strange match though with the other two penalties being missed but the final score was probably reflective of how the game transpired. Olympic had the majority of possession and shots at goal but were unable to find the net during the first half, providing a sneaking suspicion that the Fury might have been able to sneak the match with a defining counter attack.

The ability to keep fighting for a result will hold Olympic in good stead during the latter stages of the season.

BROTHERLY LOVE

Adam took the bragging rights over Grae in the match between Moreton Bay and Palm Beach featuring the brothers’ Piddick.

Moreton Bay looks a step above the competition at the moment, reminiscent of the dominant Olympic 2013 side that took all before them. Like Olympic, the Jets seem to be able to get themselves out of pretty much any position to get results. For the second week in a row, they conceded the opening goal before going on a goal-scoring blitz to get all three points, only leading the match for the first time with ten minutes to go.

Live coverage this weekend:

Saturday 3pm – Palm Beach v FNQ Heat – Football Queensland Live Stream

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